Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 98.956038 109.369111 119.988854 131.604186 143.925675 156.582165 170.540759
2025-12-07 81.773517 97.185875 113.611667 132.311118 152.901177 174.779618 199.682461
2025-12-14 67.315210 85.943761 106.656439 131.121689 158.964494 189.417404 224.995971
2025-12-21 57.586912 78.669188 103.043884 132.789915 167.611118 206.620222 253.164261
2025-12-28 51.011671 74.180067 101.928612 136.768636 178.536641 226.260268 284.175402
2026-01-04 44.798717 69.329298 99.737620 138.954754 187.009904 242.897806 311.740826
2026-01-11 40.156613 65.885991 98.805629 142.288724 196.594555 260.712553 340.688968
2026-01-18 35.951624 62.510247 97.553179 144.898608 205.076905 277.109064 367.970432
2026-01-25 29.398957 55.128414 90.433710 139.480685 203.154834 280.615765 379.609397
2026-02-01 24.609303 49.693478 85.425768 136.358216 203.751194 286.916873 394.415668
2026-02-08 21.136134 45.811910 82.211124 135.312933 206.767885 296.048013 412.580113
2026-02-15 18.713436 43.289496 80.696303 136.385052 212.406708 308.392403 434.698992
2026-02-22 17.436031 42.575984 81.830042 141.216773 223.202580 327.558607 465.736036
2026-03-01 15.636458 40.746523 81.150022 143.417604 230.481256 342.308286 491.404390
2026-03-08 13.452549 37.926586 78.729639 142.964865 234.079084 352.295950 511.119235
2026-03-15 12.063767 36.400910 78.205350 145.173051 241.267449 366.950713 536.824569
2026-03-22 11.240916 35.876149 79.227150 149.635950 251.583782 385.753162 567.937500
2026-03-29 10.143142 34.627126 78.951468 152.090773 259.082152 400.876049 594.411798
2026-04-05 9.345559 33.897833 79.469826 155.701902 268.193494 418.157983 623.735726
2026-04-12 8.498809 32.928854 79.496076 158.510990 276.161256 433.951236 651.213148
2026-04-19 6.583399 29.073762 74.185982 152.788479 271.762604 433.076453 656.955459
2026-04-26 5.252601 26.304058 70.554963 149.487282 270.672944 436.523216 668.246413
2026-05-03 4.343430 24.413561 68.378396 148.384361 272.689762 444.125647 684.974726